Evans finished 17th among WRs in PPR points and 22nd in non-PPR last year after being a 1st-round pick in most fantasy drafts. Latest on Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans including complete game-by … Evans could also see an uptick in TD scoring. Chris Godwin, or Julio Jones. Deep threat DeSean Jackson and possession man Adam Humphries are both gone now, leaving Chris Godwin and rising-star tight end O.J. And given his meager five touchdowns in 2017, he’s a great candidate for positive regression. All of those guys return in 2018, so it’s tough to project Evans’ volume to rebound much. In the six seasons that he has been in the NFL, Evans has never finished worse than WR24. His 18 targets from that area ranked only ninth, and his nine targets inside the 10 were tied for ninth too. When looking into whether or not I should write this article one thing became very apparent: The Fantasy Footballers’ Writing Staff loves Mike Evans. Both players are listed as questionable. What should improve for Evans this season is better health from QB Jameis Winston, who missed 3 games and more than half of 2 others last year. Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans' status for the team's Week 5 game against the Chicago Bears could change throughout the week. All the goodwill built over the last two weeks was GONE! How do Mike Evans' measurables compare to other wide receivers? Third, as Evans admitted, his chemistry with Winston was "a little bit off", a problem the two sought to rectify this offseason. ©2014-2020 TheFantasyFootballers.com, Engaging Media LLC, All Rights Reserved. Let's see who's going too early, what to do with the top rookies and where to mine for values. Team: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. On top of that, head coach Dirk Koetter is likely on the hot seat after three injury-plagued seasons of mediocrity. On the one hand, he signed a five-year contract extension this offseason, which demonstrates the Buccaneers’ commitment to him and seemingly validates his status as a top-end wide receiver in the NFL. That's what happens when you lead the league in targets (173). On top of that, Seattle brought in Brian Schottenheimer this offseason as their new offensive coordinator, and he’s an old-school, run-between-the-tackles coordinator who’s likely to slow the overall pace of play in Seattle. Dak Prescott: 2018’s Most Undervalued Fantasy QB? Become a member of our listener community and receive awesome perks including an extra episode, forum access, leagues, game day alerts, premium stats, and tons more. He finished top-13 in PPR points and top-11 in non-PPR in 2 of his first 3 seasons. He has over 50 touchdowns and over 7,000 receiving yards. But volume and QB play were also issues. Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Mike Evans did not practice on Tuesday due to an ankle injury. Brady rarely threw the deep ball the last few years in New England, and at age 43, he has below-average arm strength. Evans’ TD total continued its rollercoaster ride. Possibly the best QB to ever play the game somehow makes one of the best statistical WRs to ever play worse? While Jameis Winston was a mediocre real-life quarterback, he was great for the fantasy prospects of his top receivers, especially a deep threat like Evans. Brad – SLIGHT MOVE DOWN. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. Mike Evans (ankle) absent from practice on Tuesday. 1 receiver in today’s NFL. He might have to wait a year or two with Vincent Jackson around, but there’s little doubt about his physical skills. Emphasis on relatively. Last year, WR10-WR13 outperformed WR6-WR9, continuing the trend of ADP’s weakened predictive viability in this range over the past five years. Not only is the No. His 12.2 PPR points per game in those outings would have ranked 26th among WRs. Evans went off with an 8/190/3 stat line, giving us the 3rd best game by a fantasy WR in 2019. Let's hit some numbers on league-wide passing trends before digging into the standout WR targets for your 2019 drafts. If you draft him in 2018, you’re drafting a guy who has proven his ability to single-handedly win you a week in a head-to-head or DFS matchup. At 6-5, 231 pounds and with 4.53 speed, Evans is a freak, not quite in the Julio Jones/Calvin Johnson mode, but more peak Brandon Marshall. 4th we’ve written about the Tampa Bay wideout in the last five years. But DeSean Jackson is still around to stretch the field, second-year man Chris Godwin could have a bigger role, and tight ends O.J. Despite a pedestrian 13.8 YPC and 7.6 YPT (28th among the league's 41 100-target WR), Evans finished fifth in catches (96), fourth in yards (1,321) and tied for second in TDs (12) en route to the No. It was the case for DeAndre Hopkins in 2015, Pierre Garcon in 2013 and Evans last year. That’s 13.9 PPR points per game, which would have ranked 17th. Evans’ size and athleticism also make him a fantastic red-zone target. Evans should reprise his role as the team's No. Koetter's hire is especially encouraging, as he presided over one of the NFL's most pass-happy attacks the last three years in Atlanta, and Winston is widely considered the most NFL-ready QB prospect in this year's draft. He originally had a hamstring malady that has rendered him a game-time decision on a … He ranked 10th in air yards, just behind Carson Wentz and ahead of Aaron Rodgers. Buccaneers WR Mike Evans caught 5-of-9 targets for 41 yards and a touchdown in Thursday night's Week 5 loss to the Bears. If Evans is risky based on his 2019, so is every WR not named Michael Thomas. But that was a poor return on a guy who cost a 1st-round pick in most fantasy leagues. While the volume might not rebound much in a deep Bucs pass-catching corps, we are betting on a bounce back in efficiency from a 25-year-old WR whose NFL career is off to a brilliant start. You can find touch volume without spending the big bucks at RB on FanDuel this week. The Jaguars continue to rely heavily on running back James Robinson, who RotoWire's Andrew Laird is expecting to make a big impact Sunday against the Texans. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them. Fantasy Football analysis: Bucs WRs Mike Evans, Scotty Miller. He is currently going at the end of the 2nd round of fantasy drafts as the WR7, but all you hear about him is that he lost his team’s WR1 status and that Tom Brady can’t throw the deep ball. Despite his massive frame, he saw only 14 red-zone targets last year (the same number as Humphries), six targets from inside the 10 and two from inside the five - all four-year lows. Evans (ankle) will need to successfully complete pre-game workouts in order to be active Thursday night against Chicago. That followed a steady ascent over Evans’ first 3 seasons. Too many eggs in one basket. Mike Evans Player Stats + Fantasy Stats 2020. He's now scored in five straight games and six total on the young season. That said, Brady hasn't had a receiver like Evans since Randy Moss, and Brady had no problem getting Moss the ball downfield 10 years ago. In 11 games with a healthy Winston, Evans averaged 5.1 catches, 65.7 yards and .36 TDs. Howard and Cameron Brate. Coming into this season, the narrative and his ADP do not line up. Pro Football Focus ranked Evans 14th among 116 WRs in their overall grades and 13th in receiving. He's either giving you north of 100 receiving yards for fewer than 41. While his TD totals yo-yoed over his first 3 years, he averaged 9 scores on an 11.3% TD rate. All time, the correlation between ADP and end-of-season fantasy performance for WR6-WR13 is a very strong -.81, meaning that based on historical averages for WR6, WR7, WR8, etc., ADP alone accounts for 81.82% of variance in fantasy performance. Mike Evans has been banged up for most of the 2020 NFL season. Will he still be boom-or-bust? If you want 1,000 yards, you call Mike Evans. In 11 games with a healthy Winston, Evans averaged 5.1 catches, 65.7 yards and .36 TDs. The quality of the offense remains to be seen, but it’s likely to improve over last year’s with new offensive coordinator Mike Tedford brought in from Cal and new quarterback Josh McCown. The other player accomplish this in six straight seasons was Randy Moss; didn’t he and Tom Brady play together for a year? Hilton, and Brandin Cooks stand out as high-upside guys, and would anyone really be surprised if Larry Fitzgerald or Adam Thielen challenged for borderline WR1 status again? Unexpectedly, however, his end-of-season receiving touchdown total and fantasy finishes have varied dramatically from year to year: !function(e,t,n,s){var i="InfogramEmbeds",o=e.getElementsByTagName(t)[0],d=/^http:/.test(e.location)? Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Mike Evans's fantasy value is measured by his average draft position (ADP) in fantasy football mock drafts.In recent drafts, Evans's current ADP is 3.05, which indicates that his fantasy outlook is in the 5th pick of the 3rd round, and 29th selection overall. While I understand boom-or-bust is just about the most frustrating WR in fantasy football, it’s becoming more and more common. 687 Lee Road, Suite 208, Rochester, NY 14606 | 833-333-7238. Howard. Mike Evans has been a bit of a Jekyll-and-Hyde case through his first four seasons. Since 2014, Evans owns the single highest-scoring fantasy season of all the Tier 2 receivers mentioned above. Evans has been monstrously efficient the last two years with a league-leading 11.0 YPT in 2018 and 9.8 (4th) last year, thanks in large part to his big-play ability - 17.3 YPC (2nd) and seven catches of 40-plus (4th) on only 118 targets (T-19th). Arians is a great offensive mind and will use his weapons properly. For comparison, he hogged 29.9% of Tampa’s targets in 2016. Given the depth of competition surrounding Evans, I believe the biggest factor that separates him is his ceiling. With a coaching upgrade, fewer mouths to feed in the passing game and more stability under center, Evans has the best environment of his career. Just say these words out loud “Mike Evans would be a better WR if he didn’t have Tom Brady at QB“. He actually averaged more YPC (16.3, 3rd) and nearly as many YPT (8.1, down from 8.5). While Jameis Winston completed the most “deep balls”, he also threw the most and was ranked 15th in regards to accuracy. He seems to toggle between rising star or pedestrian talent depending on whether the year is odd or even. His 4,579 receiving yards through 4 seasons are the 6th most in league history behind only Randy Moss, Torry Holt, Jerry Rice, A.J. While Sammy Watkins had more buzz heading into the draft, and Odell Beckham Jr. stole the show during the regular season, Evans' rookie year was remarkable in its own right. So, too, were his 136 targets. Coming into 2019, with the addition of new head coach Bruce Arians, it was clear the tides were shifting in Tampa Bay. If active, Evans is tough to sit after going for seven catches, 122 yards and a touchdown last week, especially with Chris Godwin (hamstring) ruled out, but he'll be more of a shaky WR2 for fantasy managers at less than 100 percent against a tough Bears Defense. First, let’s remind ourselves why Evans is still a top-end wide receiver: His 6-foot-5 frame and huge catch radius make him a home-run threat any time he’s on the field.